Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.018887 0.023932 0.030681 0.040703 0.055845 0.079071 0.120230
2025-01-19 0.013701 0.019263 0.027976 0.043800 0.075108 0.144535 0.360937
2025-01-26 0.011496 0.017331 0.027542 0.049188 0.103342 0.279897 1.545521
2025-02-02 0.010086 0.016037 0.027401 0.054866 0.140688 0.578107 19.005558
2025-02-09 0.008654 0.014233 0.025514 0.055355 0.165732 1.020174 NaN
2025-02-16 0.007610 0.012871 0.024032 0.055993 0.194783 1.957099 NaN
2025-02-23 0.006778 0.011728 0.022653 0.056151 0.224907 4.099904 NaN
2025-03-02 0.005938 0.010407 0.020493 0.052663 0.230237 6.729290 NaN
2025-03-09 0.005340 0.009487 0.019081 0.051058 0.247432 14.834934 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004953 0.008955 0.018506 0.052229 0.292515 88.684414 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004590 0.008414 0.017775 0.052457 0.334571 6665.840047 NaN
2025-03-30 0.004222 0.007814 0.016756 0.051006 0.357912 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.003856 0.007222 0.015785 0.050025 0.400249 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.003661 0.007001 0.015836 0.054067 0.565148 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.003547 0.006948 0.016370 0.061311 0.944042 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.003434 0.006877 0.016831 0.069050 1.688634 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.003217 0.006512 0.016235 0.069721 2.241837 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.003029 0.006193 0.015716 0.070597 3.081362 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002854 0.005883 0.015158 0.070814 4.185479 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002639 0.005447 0.014062 0.066035 4.075520 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002475 0.005129 0.013338 0.063848 4.654804 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002368 0.004951 0.013086 0.065442 7.336316 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002257 0.004751 0.012712 0.065753 10.913108 NaN NaN